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China Coup: How Worried Should Xi Be?

China Coup: How Worried Should Xi Be?
‘Xi and the phrase #ChinaCoup trended on social media after tens of thousands of users spread unconfirmed rumors that the president was detained and overthrown by the China's People's Liberation Army.’
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'How do you spy on China?'

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Many of you have asked about my own take on the issues I analyze in these pages and about my background. Today is some of both.I am honored to have been interviewed by the terrific Jeremy Goldkorn, editor-in-chief of The China Project. Below is part of that interview.
September 18, 2022

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell

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CHINADebate

Xi’s Dangerous Radical Secrecy

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In a world of political hardball, investigative reporting, and tabloids, we know a lot (if not always accurate or unspun) about world leaders, especially those in functioning democracies. Not so with Xi Jinping.
September 5, 2022

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell

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CHINADebate

Building Biden's 'Great Wall' Around China

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Whether you view it as an aggressive adversary or a nation asserting itself in ways commensurate with its rising status, China is creating risks – some subtle, some obvious - that, along with reactions of the U.S. and its allies, have to be factored, into every related business, investment, and policy strategy.
July 10, 2022

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell

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CHINADebate

A Debt Crisis of its Own Making

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Ever since Xi Jinping announced ‘One Belt, One Road’ in 2013, I watched it expand China’s economic and geopolitical influence and lay the foundation for projecting its military power – and become by many accounts an exploiter of the developing world itself.
July 1, 2022

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell

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CHINADebate

No. Ukraine Won't Change Xi's Plans - or Timetable - for Taiwan

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Ukraine won't speed up or delay Mr. Xi's timetable. (But it may cause him to work harder to strengthen China's military and insulate its economy from external pressure.)
June 22, 2022

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell

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CHINADebate

'The competitiveness of China is eroding.'

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Understanding the drivers of China’s rise to supply chain prominence gives (me anyway) insights to help analyze the changes – or not – of ‘decoupling.’
June 12, 2022

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell

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CHINADebate

U.S.-China Relations: A Chinese Perspective

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Wang Jisi notes that the views are his own, and certainly we don’t know how closely, if at all, they reflect the thinking of anyone in the leadership. But given his straightforward and thorough analysis, free of canned arguments and slogans, I hope they do. I also hope the Biden administration pays heed.
June 5, 2022

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell

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CHINADebate

Is Xi Jinping China's Biggest Problem?

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And while the impact of Zero Covid may be relatively short-lived, the impact of Mr. Xi’s return to the socialist path will be felt for a very long time, both in China and the world. So the impact will no doubt be felt as long as Mr. Xi leads China.
May 30, 2022

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell

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CHINADebate

The Next U.S.-China Crisis: CEOs & Boards Are Not Ready

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‘The bad news is that very few corporations engaged in China have contingency plans or long-term strategies to hedge against the downside risks of growing geopolitical competition.’
May 22, 2022

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell

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CHINADebate

China GDP: 'A very long period of Japan-style low growth.’

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Here are some of the insights from ‘The Only Five Paths China’s Economy Can Follow’ by Peking University’s Michael Pettis. This excellent analysis of China’s economy is worth a careful reading.
May 14, 2022

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell

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CHINADebate

'Zero Covid' & the Shanghai lockdown

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Joerg Wuttke is the president of the EU Chamber of Commerce in China - the 'official voice of European business in China.'
May 1, 2022

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell

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CHINADebate

China: 'Sleep Walking into Sanctions?'

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A looming risk is Russia-like sanctions on China. The sanctions on Russia are causing plenty of disruptions. But those disruptions would be nothing compared to the catastrophe of Russia-like sanctions on China. The good news is that if China does violate the sanctions, the violations would likely be narrow and specific - even unintentional. So secondary sanctions - if they come at all - likely won't hit China’s economy and financial system deeply – or (fingers crossed) U.S.-China relations.
April 17, 2022
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Joerg Wuttke

President, European Union Chamber of Commerce in China

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Shang-Jin Wei

Professor | Columbia University

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Richard Cooper

Professor | Harvard University

Tony Saich

Professor | Harvard Kennedy School of Government
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Senior adjunct professor

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Professor | Harvard Kennedy School of Government
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Xiaobo Lu

Professor | Barnard & Columbia Universities

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Senior adjunct professor

David Dollar

Senior Fellow
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Erick Yao

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Yukon Huang

Senior Fellow | Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

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Senior adjunct professor

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Senior Fellow | Harvard Asia Center

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Director of the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States

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President

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Partner | Trivium China

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Dinny McMahon

Independent analyst of China's financial system

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Professor | Harvard Kennedy School of Government

Yasheng Huang

Professor | Sloan School of Management, MIT
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Andy Nathan

Professor

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CHINAMacroReporter

share your issues with your peers and experts

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