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Pieter Bottelier

Pieter Bottelier

Visiting Scholar, SAIS (School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University)
  • Visiting Scholar, School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University
  • Former Chief, World Bank’s Resident Mission in Beijing

Pieter Bottelier, an economist and China scholar, is the author of many articles and book chapters on China’s economy. He is a visiting scholar at Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies, where he served as senior adjunct professor from 1999 to 2015; senior adviser on China to The Conference Board from 2006 to 2010; and visiting scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace since 2009. He also served as adjunct lecturer at Harvard University (2001–03) and Georgetown University (2004).

Bottelier spent nearly 30 years at the World Bank, as senior adviser to the vice president for East Asia (1997–98); chief of the World Bank’s Resident Mission in Beijing (1993–97); consecutive directorships for Latin America and North Africa (1987–93); division chief for Mexico (1983–87); resident chief economist in Jakarta, Indonesia (1979–83); and handling various assignments as desk economist for East and West African countries (1970–79).

Prior to the World Bank, Bottelier was employed as chief economist and marketing director of the (then) Zambian state-owned copper company (Lusaka) (1968–70); consultant to UNCTAD (Geneva) on the global market for virgin and scrap nonferrous metals (1968); adviser, Ministry of Finance, Zambia (Lusaka) (1965–67); and at Amsterdam University (1964–65). He was also a research associate at the Brookings Institution in Washington, D.C. (1963–64), and Harkness Fellow of the Commonwealth Fund in New York for study in the United States (1962–64).

Bottelier attended the University of Amsterdam (1954–62), from which he received a Drs degree (M.A. equivalent) in 1962. He was also a guest scholar at MIT (1962–63).

Channels

AsiaStrat
Granite Peak Advisory
Track Research
Trivium China
Gao Feng
Real Estate Foresight
China Beige Book

All Analyses by

Pieter Bottelier

What are the policy implications for China's economy from the 19th Party Congress?'

1. Pieter, in our interview, warned that China's shift from pragmatism to ideology could weaken the quality of the technocrats' economic policy making and regulation, and thereby hurt economic stability and growth. 

2. Pieter believes China has avoided a hard landing, thanks especially to technocrats who manage the property sector. 

3. I employ one of my favorite real estate graphics to demonstrate - using data - just how well, in fact, the technocrats manage the property sector. And, the impact less competent technocrats could have.

Will 'One Belt, One Road' Tank China's Economy?

But, the biggest threat in the near term is that Xi Jinping will see OBOR as an alternative to completing the economic reforms promised - but not delivered - in 2013's Third Plenum.