Biden China Tracker

by Malcolm Riddell

G7 to D10
2

'Joe Biden Worries That China Might Win'

The Atlantic

CHINADebate

|

Thomas Wright | Brookings
&

by
|
|
&
June 9, 2021
'Joe Biden Worries That China Might Win'
'Joe Biden Worries That China Might Win'
No items found.

Heading

Thomas Wright | Brookings

G7 to D10

2

BIG IDEA | ‘Biden worries that China is in competition for America, and not only that—they might win. This belief underpins the Biden doctrine.’

‘Two years ago, Biden spoke about why he thought reports of China’s strength were overstated, and made a remark that Republicans hammered him for during the 2020 campaign:’

  • ‘ “China is going to eat our lunch? Come on, man. I mean, you know, they’re not bad folks, folks. But guess what? They’re not competition for us.” ’
  • ‘Now he worries that they are competition for America, and not only that—they might win.’

‘In Biden’s view, the United States and other democracies are in a competition with China and other autocracies.’

  • ‘This belief underpins the Biden doctrine.’

‘Those who have concerns with his doctrine ignore an important geopolitical development that Biden has put his finger on.’

  • ‘The old rules-based international order has come apart, and two broad constellations of countries are emerging in its place—one consisting of democracies, the other autocracies.’

‘Each side is motivated more by insecurity than by an ambition to transform the world in its image.’

  • ‘Xi and his fellow autocrats worry that the free flow of information, the attractiveness of democracy, and economic interdependence would destabilize their regimes.’
  • ‘Biden and America’s allies are concerned that Xi’s attempt to make the world safe for the Chinese Communist Party will undermine freedom and democracy, pushing international rules in an illiberal direction and empowering autocrats worldwide.’
  • ‘Neither is wrong in their assessment.’

‘The big questions concern what happens next.’

  • ‘Biden has taken the vital first step of correctly diagnosing the strategic challenge facing the country.’

‘Like Harry Truman at the start of the Cold War and George H. W. Bush at its end, the president now has an opportunity to create a framework for a new era.’

  • ‘It will not be easy.’

‘What makes Biden’s job complex is the fact that our era of competition is fundamentally different from the Cold War, thanks to the high level of interdependence between democracies and autocracies, especially China.’

  • ‘Biden will have to lead democracies in agreeing on an appropriate level of engagement with China.’

‘Some presidents never find a doctrine. Biden has one.’

  • ‘In his view, the United States is in a competition of governance systems with China.’

‘His response is not about spreading democracy at gunpoint or even democracy promotion per se, but about showing that democracy can deliver—at home and abroad.’

  • ‘The question now is whether Biden can bring his administration, the country, and America’s allies along to embed this doctrine in U.S. foreign policy.’

CHINADebate

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell
|

CHINADebate

|
&
|
Biden Doctrine
0

The Biden Doctrine and Its Discontents

President Biden has framed China as a threat both to the U.S. and the liberal world order.
7/15/2021

The Economist

CHINADebate

|

|
&
|
Biden Doctrine
3

'What's Wrong with Biden’s new China doctrine'

‘Mr Biden’s aides invariably start any discussion of China strategy with the need to restore American greatness after decades of decline.’
7/15/2021

The Economist

CHINADebate

|

|
&
|
Biden Doctrine
2

Part 2 | Joe Biden is determined that China should not displace America

‘Mr Biden’s aides invariably start any discussion of China strategy with the need to restore American greatness after decades of decline.’
7/15/2021

The Economist

CHINADebate

|

|
&
|
Biden Doctrine
1

Part 1 | 'Joe Biden is determined that China should not displace America'

‘Biden’s emerging China strategy, while still protean, sounds of a kind with Mr Doshi’s prescription for “blunting and building”.’
7/15/2021

Center for Strategic and International Studies

CHINADebate

|

Pierre Morcos | Center for Strategic and International Studies
|
&
|
G7 to D10
4

'NATO & China's Challenges to Europe'

‘Even though China does not pose a direct military threat to NATO, contrary to Russia or terrorist groups, Beijing’s growing economic influence and diplomatic assertiveness in Europe coupled with its growing military relationship with Russia do have major implications for the transatlantic economy as well as its security.’
6/9/2021

CHINADebate

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell
|

CHINADebate

|
&
|
G7 to D10
0

Biden Worries China Might Win

‘Biden has taken the vital first step of correctly diagnosing the strategic challenge facing the country.’ ‘Like Harry Truman at the start of the Cold War and George H. W. Bush at its end, the president now has an opportunity to create a framework for a new era.’
6/9/2021

The Washington Post

CHINADebate

|

Joe Biden | President of the United States
|
&
|
G7 to D10
1

Joe Biden: 'My trip to Europe is about America rallying the world’s democracies'

‘This is a defining question of our time: Can democracies come together to deliver real results for our people in a rapidly changing world?’
6/9/2021

The Atlantic

CHINADebate

|

Thomas Wright | Brookings
|
&
|
G7 to D10
2

'Joe Biden Worries That China Might Win'

‘Biden worries that China is in competition for America, and not only that—they might win. This belief underpins the Biden doctrine.’
6/9/2021

The Atlantic Council

CHINADebate

|

|
&
|
G7 to D10
3

'From the G7 to a D-10: Strengthening democratic cooperation for today's challenges'

‘A “Democratic-10” or “D-10” is aimed at rallying the world’s most powerful democracies around a common cause— advancing a rules-based democratic order based on shared values and common interests.’
6/9/2021

Brookings

CHINADebate

Cheng Li
|

Brookings

|
&
|
Biden’s China strategy
7

Postscript: China Doubts U.S. Allies Support

'Chinese leadership is also cynical about the effectiveness of a U.S.-led Cold War-style bloc.’
5/30/2021

Brookings

CHINADebate

Cheng Li
|

Brookings

|
&
|
Biden’s China strategy
3

China's ‘Anti-Hegemonist Bloc’

‘To counter U.S. coalition building, China has enhanced its diplomatic, economic, and military relationship with both Russia and Iran in recent months, resulting in the closest ties these countries have had in the post-Cold War era.’
5/30/2021

CHINADebate

CHINADebate

Malcolm Riddell
|

CHINADebate

|
&
|
Biden’s China strategy
0

What China Thinks About Biden's China Policy

And that is what makes Cheng Li’s ‘Biden’s China strategy: Coalition-driven competition or Cold War-style confrontation?' so valuable. Cheng has decades of close relationships with China’s leaders and high officials. They trust him not to attribute their comments and so speak freely and honestly to him. Cheng is the person I rely on most to convey China’s positions.
5/30/2021

Brookings

CHINADebate

Cheng Li
|

Brookings

|
&
|
Biden’s China strategy
6

'Final Thoughts'

'Just as Brzezinski foresaw the two new contending blocs –– requiring greater “geostrategic skill” –– that are forming today, Kissinger has emphasized the unprecedented dangers that AI could introduce into a divided world.’
5/30/2021

Brookings

CHINADebate

Cheng Li
|

Brookings

|
&
|
Biden’s China strategy
5

Worse for China than Trump

‘Many Chinese now believe that the Biden administration could be more detrimental to U.S.-China relations than the Trump administration.’
5/30/2021

Brookings

CHINADebate

Cheng Li
|

Brookings

|
&
|
Biden’s China strategy
4

The Trump Legacy

‘From Beijing’s perspective, the hawkish approach to China in the final year of the Trump administration revealed that the Trump team sought to defeat and destroy China in much the same way that the United States defeated the Soviet Union in the Cold War.’
5/30/2021

Brookings

CHINADebate

Cheng Li
|

Brookings

|
&
|
Biden’s China strategy
1

'Biden’s China strategy: Coalition-driven competition or Cold War-style confrontation?'

‘Senior officials on the foreign policy team have frequently emphasized three “C” words: competition, cooperation, and confrontation.’
5/30/2021

Brookings

CHINADebate

Cheng Li
|

Brookings

|
&
|
Biden’s China strategy
2

Biden’s ‘Anti-China Bloc’

‘Throughout President Joe Biden’s first 100 days in office, his administration has largely continued the Trump administration’s hawkish approach toward China.’ ‘President Biden has also made international coalition building to confront the growing power and influence of China his primary foreign policy initiative.’ ‘Chinese leaders and the public are not convinced by the statements recently made by President Biden that these U.S.-led alliances are “not anti-Chinese” and that the United States is “not looking for confrontation” with China.’
5/30/2021

Ministry of Foreign Affairs, PRC

CHINADebate

|

Wang Wenbin | Foreign Ministry Spokesperson
|
&
|
Biden’s First 100 Days
3

'China's Response to Biden's Speech'

‘It is natural for the two sides to have competition in some fields, but we should advocate fair competition, like competing with each other for excellence in a racing field, not beating each other on a wrestling arena.’
4/29/2021