Biden China Tracker

'Final Thoughts'

Cheng Li

Director, Brookings Institution, John L. Thornton China Center

'Final Thoughts'
'Final Thoughts'
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Biden’s China strategy

6

May 30, 2021
BIG IDEA | ‘Just as Brzezinski foresaw the two new contending blocs –– requiring greater “geostrategic skill” –– that are forming today, Kissinger has emphasized the unprecedented dangers that AI could introduce into a divided world.’

‘Henry Kissinger, another foremost strategic thinker of our time, recently warned that “‘endless’ competition between the world’s two largest economies risks unforeseen escalation and subsequent conflict.” In Kissinger’s view, U.S.-China competition today differs from Cold War competition in two crucial respects.’

  1. ‘First, the United States and China today are almost equally powerful, while the Soviet Union in the Cold War era was relatively weaker than the U.S. and was not integrated into the global economy.’
  2. ‘Second, the current situation is more dangerous given the availability of “artificial intelligence (AI) and futuristic weaponry” in addition to nuclear armaments.’

‘Neither country could win a total war or destroy the other and thus, the two countries and the greater international community need to find an entirely new way to coexist.’

‘Having drawn upon their experiences leading American institutions during the great power competition of the past, Kissinger and Brzezinski have flagged the warning signs of a perilous future.’

  • ‘Just as Brzezinski foresaw the two new contending blocs –– requiring greater “geostrategic skill” –– that are forming today, Kissinger has emphasized the unprecedented dangers that AI could introduce into a divided world.’

‘Leaders in the U.S. and China would be wise to consider both the history and the new reality of great power conflict, as the consequences of following the current path toward confrontation would be catastrophic not only for both countries, but for the entire world.’

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Director, Brookings Institution, John L. Thornton China Center

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Director, Brookings Institution, John L. Thornton China Center

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3

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0

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Director, Brookings Institution, John L. Thornton China Center

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5

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Director, Brookings Institution, John L. Thornton China Center

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4

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Director, Brookings Institution, John L. Thornton China Center

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1

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Cheng Li

Director, Brookings Institution, John L. Thornton China Center

Biden’s China strategy

2

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