The Big Ideas

The Economist

The Economist

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With growth on track, China starts to unwind stimulus
With growth on track, China starts to unwind stimulus
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"The East is rising, and the West is declining." Xi Jinping

March 7, 2021
BIG IDEA | ‘China was the first country to open its lending and spending taps in the face of the coronavirus downturn. Now, it is the first to start to close them, giving others a partial preview at the National People’s Congressof what the end of stimulus will look like. The most notable aspect is its gradualism.’
BIG IDEA | ‘Many analysts think China's growth could be as high as 9% in 2021, up from last year’s 2.3%. But the government is, publicly at least, setting its sights on above 6% this year. Barring any major setbacks, that should be easy to achieve.’  

My Take

The U.S. Senate just passed President Biden's $1.9 trillion stimulus bill. Now it goes back to the House for a second vote.

At the same time, China is about to slowly unwind its stimulus measures and will have strong GDP growth this year - far stronger than that of any developed economy.

As a measure of how far behind the U.S. is, Mr. Biden has characterized the current bill as an aid package, not a stimulus package. And he has said that another huge stimulus bill may follow.

At the National Party Congress this week, Xi Jinping repeated that “the East is rising, and the West is declining.” Sometimes it's hard not to agree.

CHINADebate

CHINADebate

The Big Ideas

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'Are you tired of losing yet, America?'

As I write this, Taliban forces have entered Kabul and are reportedly occupying the Presidential Palace.
Malcolm Riddell
Founder of CHINADebate
8/15/2021

Bloomberg

CHINADebate

The Big Ideas

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'China Signals More Regulation for Businesses in Coming Years'

‘The State Council’s statement provides a guiding context to interpret current regulatory thrusts. The blueprint as an attempt by Chinese authorities to help investors understand the motives behind the regulatory push.’
8/15/2021

The Wall Street Journal

CHINADebate

The Big Ideas

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George Soros

'Xi’s Dictatorship Threatens the Chinese State'

‘Mr. Xi is determined to bring the creators of wealth under the control of the one-party state.’
George Soros
8/15/2021

Credit Suisse

CHINADebate

The Big Ideas

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8/15/2021

CHINADebate

CHINADebate

The Big Ideas

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Don't Say Xi Jinping Didn't Warn You

‘Global investors are shocked to have discovered that China is run by Communists.’
Malcolm Riddell
Founder of CHINADebate
8/5/2021

Bloomberg

CHINADebate

The Big Ideas

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Matthew Brooker | Bloomberg

‘Global investors shocked to have discovered that China is run by Communists.’

‘Global investors are shocked to have discovered that China is run by Communists.’
Matthew Brooker | Bloomberg
8/5/2021

Bloomberg

CHINADebate

The Big Ideas

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'Shocked Investors Scour Xi’s Old Speeches to Find Next Target'

‘While China’s policy moves can feel ad hoc particularly to foreign investors, the changes are quite targeted on certain sectors.’
8/5/2021

The Wall Street Journal

CHINADebate

The Big Ideas

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Greg Ip | The Wall Street Journal

'China Wants Manufacturing—Not the Internet—to Lead the Economy'

‘Social media, e-commerce and other consumer internet companies are nice to have. But in his view national greatness doesn’t depend on having the world’s finest group chats or ride-sharing.’
Greg Ip | The Wall Street Journal
8/5/2021